Archive LBBW Research 2022-2025

In the LBBW Research Archive you will find publications from the years 2022-2025.

To the point - 2025
To the point - 2024
To the point - 2023

To the point! - the issues of 2023

To the point - 2022

To the point! - the issues of 2022

Studies

Studies & Analyses

Climate Change hits Sovereign Creditworthiness

Changes of rating in creditworthiness in a colored scale
Rising Temperatures, Falling Ratings: The Effect of Climate Change on Sovereign Creditworthiness by Patrycja Klusak, Matthew Agarwala, Matt Burke, Moritz Kraemer and Kamiar Mohaddes, 7 August 2023, The Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences

Chief Economist Moritz Kraemer and researchers at the University of Cambridge have published a scientific article on the influence of climate change on sovereign ratings. A simulation shows that creditworthiness could be impacted more than during Subprime or Covid-crises. Particularly China, Chile and India could be downgraded significantly.

The market fallout from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB)

Falling stock markets

The collapse of US-based Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has sent shockwaves across global financial markets. However, this is not a Lehman moment. Not by a long shot. The bank failure is due to a uniquely risky business model and entrenched risk management failures at the SVB. LBBW analysts explain why there is no read across to European banks and why we have not adjusted our monetary policy calls.

ECB plans anti-fragmentation instrument

ECB European Central Bank

Why the anti-fragmentation instrument planned by the European Central Bank is likely to be an own goal is explained by our Chief Economist Dr Moritz Kraemer in an article for the OMFIF Forum.

ECB risks raising expectations it cannot fulfil
by Moritz Kraemer 29 June 2022
OMFIF Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum

To the article

Study shows credit risk due to damage to ecosystems

In a groundbreaking study, our Chief Economist Moritz Kraemer and scientific colleagues analyse the impact of biodiversity loss on the creditworthiness and economic resilience of economies.

Download

Nature Loss and Sovereign Credit Ratings

SOAS University of London
E-book

Biodiversity Loss May Push Developing World Closer to Default

Bloomberg Europe Edition

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